{"id":396,"date":"2008-08-04T18:51:21","date_gmt":"2008-08-05T00:51:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hunch.net\/?p=396"},"modified":"2008-08-04T18:51:21","modified_gmt":"2008-08-05T00:51:21","slug":"electoralmarketscom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hunch.net\/?p=396","title":{"rendered":"Electoralmarkets.com"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/lance.fortnow.com\/\">Lance<\/a> reminded me about <a href=\"http:\/\/www.electoralmarkets.com\">electoralmarkets<\/a> today, which is cool enough that I want to point it out explicitly here.  <\/p>\n<p>Most people still <a href=\"http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\">use polls<\/a> to predict who wins, while electoralmarkets uses people betting real money.  They might use polling information, but any other sources of information are implicitly also allowed.  A side-by-side comparison of how polls compare to prediction markets might be fun in a few months.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Lance reminded me about electoralmarkets today, which is cool enough that I want to point it out explicitly here. Most people still use polls to predict who wins, while electoralmarkets uses people betting real money. They might use polling information, but any other sources of information are implicitly also allowed. A side-by-side comparison of how &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/hunch.net\/?p=396\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Electoralmarkets.com&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-396","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-research"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hunch.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/396","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hunch.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hunch.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hunch.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hunch.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=396"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hunch.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/396\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hunch.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=396"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hunch.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=396"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hunch.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=396"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}